TEXAS, USA — A poll released by Quinnipiac University on Thursday took an early look at how likely Texas voters will cast ballots in the 2020 presidential election.
The study shows President Donald Trump is nearly tied with former Vice President Joe Biden, U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders and former U.S. Representative Beto O'Rourke.
The research was done from Feb. 20 to Feb. 25, when researchers surveyed 1,222 Texas voters, asking if the election were today, how would they vote.
The results to the hypothetical match-ups done in the research by Quinnipiac University are below:
- Trump leads Biden 47-46 percent. Trump's numbers include 41 percent of independent voters with Biden picking up 46 percent of the independents.
- Trump led Sanders 47-45 percent, but Sanders leads with the independent voters at 48-45 percent.
- Trump also lead O'Rourke by a very small number with 47-46 percent. O'Rourke picked up 38 percent of independent voters to Trump's 41 percent.
The results of the research comparing Democratic candidates to Trump:
- Trump leads 46-41 percent over Julian Castro, former San Antonio Mayor and former Housing and Urban Development Secretary.
- Trump keeps his lead in front of Democrats when we look at U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris of California, with a 48-41 percent result.
- U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts had similar results to Harris with Trump leading 48-41 percent over Warren.
“The 2020 presidential race in Texas, and how some of Democrats stack up against President Donald Trump, begins as a two-tiered contest," Peter A. Brown, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, said. "There are three more well-known contenders who run evenly against President Donald Trump. Another group, less well-known, are just a little behind Trump."
“Former Vice President Joe Biden has the highest favorability of any of the contenders and has a better net favorability than President Trump,” Brown added. “Former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke also does relatively well on favorability and in a matchup with Trump, but that may well be due to O’Rourke being a home-state favorite."
The poll went on to show among Texas voters, 47 percent have a favorable opinion of Trump, with 49 percent unfavorable.
Favorability for possible Democratic challengers in the 2020 presidential elections are below:
- Biden's favorability rating came in positive with 48-38 percent.
- Sanders favorability rating was negative with 41-47 percent.
- Texas voters are fairly divided on O'Rourke with 44-40 percent for O'Rourke.
- Harris was negative among Texas voters at 24-33 percent.
- Warren was also negative among Texas voters at 27-42 percent.
- Texans were divided on Castro with 23 percent for and 27 percent against.
- 51 percent of people said they haven't heard enough to form an opinion on U.S. Senator Cory Booker.
- Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg did not receive a favorability rating as 53 percent had not heard enough about him to form an opinion.
- 68 percent have not heard enough about U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand of New York to form an opinion.
- 70 percent have not heard enough to form an opinion on U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota.
The poll done by Quinnipiac University also took a look at the Texas Senate race in 2020.
The research found Republican incumbent Senator John Cornyn and his possible Democratic challenger Beto O'Rourke are tied at 46 percent, but O'Rourke has the independent voters at 47-40 percent over Cornyn.
However, sources close to O'Rourke say he has no plans to challenge Senator Cornyn.