NOAA: 65 percent chance of El Nino developing this year

In December of 1991 at Mansfield Dam on Lake Travis, the floodgates were open.

Upon closer examination, five floodgates were open. That's because heavy rains led to flooding. A close-up view almost looked like Niagara Falls.

The Lower Colorado River Authority said that's the highest number of floodgates ever opened and it hasn't happened again.

You can thank El Nino for that heavy rain and flooding. According to NOAA, El Nino flared up from spring of '91 to the early summer of '92.

It paid another visit in 1994. In October of that year, heavy rain flooded streets in the Austin area, and some people had to be rescued.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) now predicts a 65 percent chance of El Nino returning this year - perhaps as early as summer.

However, its impact on Central Texas rain may not be felt until fall.

In addition, NOAA stresses it's uncertain as to exactly when El Nino will develop and how strong it might be.

By the way here's a refresher, during El Nino years, the southern branch of the jet stream flows more to the south, streaming over Texas. That tends to bring more rain our way.

When you look at the most recent drought map, rain is definitely what we need. Parts of Central Texas are now in exceptional drought - the worst category.

When you look at the flooding from the early to mid 90s caused by El Nino - you might think it's a bit too much water.

Given our pitiful looking Lake Travis, some of that water would be pretty nice right now.


To find out more about Facebook commenting please read the
Conversation Guidelines and FAQs

Leave a Comment